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This topic comprises 2 pages: 1 2
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Topic: Survey: Which movie will be the box office winner this summer?
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Mike Blakesley
Film God
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Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99
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posted 05-03-2007 11:19 AM
It's a tough call between the big 3 (Spidey, Pirates, Potter)
But I think the top 5 in order will be:
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End 2. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 3. Spider-Man 3 4. Shrek 3 5. Ratatouille
The only one I really feel sure about is Pirates. The others...well, the order could shake up just about any way, I suppose.
I expect Bourne Ultimatum to be good. Evan Almighty - I was totally against that one from the first but the latest trailer looks pretty good, plus Steve Carrell is on a streak, so it might be a surprise. Surf's Up will be a contender, unless the media beats the "another penguin movie?" theme into the ground and kills it.
Simpsons is a real wild card. I feel like it could be huge, but just not sure. I'm not hearing the buzz on it, but it's early.
There are a lot of decent movies which would be topliners in any other year, but this year they're second-teir. Fantastic Four, Chuck and Larry, Transformers, Daddy Day Camp, Rush Hour 3, Live Free or Die Hard.
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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."
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Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001
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posted 05-03-2007 06:04 PM
I think Pirates of the Carribean: At World's End will be the summer's biggest money winner.
Ratatouille is the movie I want to see most out of this year's crop of "summer films." Not sure how much money the movie will make. But then I don't give a damn if its a major blockbuster either. I'm still going to go see it even if I'm the only one who intends to see it. Pixar and Disney are still going to make money from it though. Good movies can often be measured by something besides box office gross. And some "blockbusters" in recent years have been mediocre or even bad, such as the first Spiderman installment. I just hope the public doesn't stay away from the movie based on the odd title.
Shrek 3? Not sure about that one. Wasn't too impressed with Shrek 2.
Spiderman 3 will make a good amount of money. However, the film's running time and growing number of bad to mediocre reviews will ruin its staying power. If it drags as much as some suggest then the word of mouth won't be good. It'll probably open with a record-breaking weekend due to all the insane front loading of movie theater screens. Our Carmike 8 has it booked on 3 full screens, with two more shows doubled with another movie on a 4th screen. At 12:01am tonight they'll play the movie in as many houses they can fill, even if all 8 screens get filled. Basically, anyone who wants to see this movie on opening weekend won't have any problem doing so. I expect a big drop in attendance on its 2nd weekend.
The Fantastic 4: Rise of the Silver Surfer is going to do better than the first Fantastic 4 movie. But it probably won't beat the numbers of Spiderman 3. Thank God they didn't try to use a sequel number on this movie. Some folks would have been scratching their heads seeing "Fantastic 4 2" on the marquee. Actually, that may be how the movie is listed on some theater signs.
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix will probably do very well. It won't be Pirates in box office haul. But considering its biggest competition will be Michael Bay's Transformers pic, the new Harry Potter movie would actually have to be pretty bad to keep audiences from visiting the theater in droves.
Rush Hour 3 looks like it will be crap.
Live Free Or Die Hard sounds like the title for a movie about hillbilly militant separatists who abuse Viagara. 12 years have passed since the last Die Hard sequel was released. This new one doesn't look very exciting. Can't they do better than just getting the "I'm a Mac" guy as a sidekick? What the hell is the movie even about? The trailer sucks.
I know we complain every summer about sequel-itis. But it seems like there really is a serious glut of sequels this year, much more than the usual amount. How many non-sequels are going to do well?
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