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This topic comprises 3 pages: 1 2 3
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Author
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Topic: Skipping the movie theater altogether?
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Mike Blakesley
Film God
Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99
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posted 11-09-2010 11:11 AM
Some clarification is necessary:
- The $30 would not be for a BD; it would be for video-on-demand, therefore you need a cable or satellite connection (and hope you don't get any dropouts or interruptions).
- The availability would be about 30 to 45 days after the theatrical release, not day and date.
- Because it's VOD, as I understand it you'll just be able to watch it once. For the kids to be able to watch that Disney movie 300 times, you'll still need to wait for the DVD or BR. (Am I wrong on this? )
I think it will be a rocky road, because the big reason they're doing this is to recapture all the dollars people used to spend on DVDs. In reality, the studios will make even less money than they do now because the majority of people will still wait for the DVD/BR to come out so they can get it for a dollar at Redbox; and people like Don will invite 8 friends over to watch the movie on VOD, dropping the studio "take" per viewer dramatically.
And, exhibitors will either demand a much-lower film rental or refuse outright to play a movie that's going to VOD in 30 days.
"Marginal" movies will suffer, but hyped-up blockbusters will make a lot of money on weekend 1 and then drop like a hot rock.
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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."
Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001
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posted 11-09-2010 01:34 PM
I don't think this premium VOD thing is a good idea at all. It's not going to create any new revenue stream; it's just going to dilute the existing ones. It may hurt theatrical ticket sales and could even hurt video sales too. The only business I see gaining anything at all with premium VOD is home improvement/decorating businesses. You don't want your house looking like a pig sty to guests if you're going to have them over to chip in and watch a premium PPV show.
I think any self-professed movie fan should see at least a few movies every year in commercial theaters to help support that side of the industry. Without the movie theaters most of the movie industry would implode on itself through a series sad yet fairly predictable events. With every movie made for TV the consequences for the industry could be really serious and spread to a lot more than just the movie industry itself.
Think of how much broadcast and cable TV networks rely on showing Hollywood movies, typically major releases with big budgets and/or big stars, movies that played in movie theaters. They would have a hell of a programming void to fill. It would be particularly tricky to fill if every movie is "direct to DVD" (provided packaged media formats like DVD and Blu-ray even survived such a paradigm shift). TV networks are already in some considerable trouble as it is. DVR use is ruining some of the value of commercials to advertisers. Faster Internet connections and improved streaming could seriously harm the ad business for a lot of local TV stations. It takes a lot more than the ads sold during a local newscast to keep a small TV station financially afloat.
Hollywood studio produced movies represent a big part of the United States' pop cultural identity to the rest of the world. It's part of how the United States and "the west" in general influences much of the rest of the world. If America's movie industry were reduced to a shadow of its former self then countries like China and India would have a big opportunity to exploit.
With all of that being said, I don't go to the theater as often as I did several years ago. There's a variety of reasons for that. Disruptive audience members present the biggest problem. In the 1990s I drove to Dallas and Oklahoma City somewhat often to see movies at good theaters. It costs a lot more to do that now thanks to gasoline prices. Some of those good theaters in DFW were demolished. Finally, so many more of Hollywood's movies are sequels, re-makes and send-ups of TV shows. I have a hard time making the decision to drive across town to see that kind of fare, much less drive 100 or 200 miles.
IMHO, Hollywood studios need to concentrate on two things: 1. Make better, more original movies, 2. Improve the movie-going experience in theaters.
If studios would do more to concentrate on those two things they would improve their revenue on every release platform. A great movie going environment will make even a mediocre movie a little less mediocre and improve its chances for sale, rental or repeat viewing on TV.
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Ky Boyd
Hey I'm #23
Posts: 314
From: Santa Rosa, CA, USA
Registered: Jun 99
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posted 11-09-2010 08:37 PM
VOD is an interesting animal. Will it replace going to the theatre? For some yes? In the arthouse world we've been dealing with simultaneous release of films to theatres and via VOD from Magnolia, IFC, Strand and others for a couple of years now. Interestingly, it hasn't hurt the box office on these films and has in fact, in my opinion, enhanced the awareness of the films. Flawless with Demi Moore and Michael Caine enjoyed a highly successful theatrical run while on VOD as have other titles. But the arthouse world and its niche pictures are a totally different animal than the usual 2,000 to 3,500 screen saturation release from a Hollywood major. And price point matters. I believe, but again, I may be wrong, that the price point for the Magnolia, IFC and Strand titles is in the $12 to $15 range varying by cable system, etc. I still believe in seeing movies in movie theatres. There is something about sharing the common experience of watching a film in the dark with a group of strangers that cannot be duplicated in the home environment. Yes there are distractions in the theatre sometimes. Can we ever truly eliminate all of them? No. But the distractions in the home environment and the conveniences of stopping the flick for bathrooms, snacks, phone calls or whatever, change the experience. I believe this change is fundamental in its nature, but others will have differing opinions. As all forms of filmed entertainment (movies, tv, etc) become more cross platform and mobile, everyone in this industry must work to ensure that the movie going experience remains excellent for those who wish to consume movies that way.
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