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» Film-Tech Forum ARCHIVE   » Community   » Film-Yak   » DVD sales going south? (Page 1)

 
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Author Topic: DVD sales going south?
Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 04-24-2007 06:54 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Well this is surprising. Theatre ticket sales are up over last year, but:

Link

Sales of DVDs Plunge To Lowest Level Ever
The first quarter of the year was the worst ever for home video sales in the DVD era, Daily Variety reported today (Tuesday) as it cited a report by Video Business that sales fell 5.1 percent to $5.6 billion during the quarter. Rentals, however, were down only 1 percent. Nevertheless, executives of studio home-video units told the trade publication that business has picked up considerably in the second quarter and blamed a weak release schedule on the earlier downturn.

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Mark J. Marshall
Film God

Posts: 3188
From: New Castle, DE, USA
Registered: Aug 2002


 - posted 04-24-2007 07:41 PM      Profile for Mark J. Marshall     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
How about blaming crappy movies that no one wants to see let alone own.

That's why I haven't bought anything recently.

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Mike Heenan
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1896
From: Scottsdale, AZ, USA
Registered: Mar 2000


 - posted 04-24-2007 07:45 PM      Profile for Mike Heenan   Email Mike Heenan   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
i just think its too over saturated... I mean there's only so many movies you can have in your collection before it bankrupts you... and only so many hours in the day you can watch them. I know that Netflix certainly has saved me tons of money that I would have wasted on dvds that I only would watch once.

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Monte L Fullmer
Film God

Posts: 8367
From: Nampa, Idaho, USA
Registered: Nov 2004


 - posted 04-24-2007 08:16 PM      Profile for Monte L Fullmer   Email Monte L Fullmer   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
..and let alone the Internet downloads of movies to copy for your own..plus the DVD ripping that is available when renting DVD's....

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Bobby Henderson
"Ask me about Trajan."

Posts: 10973
From: Lawton, OK, USA
Registered: Apr 2001


 - posted 04-24-2007 08:52 PM      Profile for Bobby Henderson   Email Bobby Henderson   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I'm not surprised to see such a report.

A sales decline of 5% versus a rental decline of 1% is a pretty telling figure.

Like Mark, I think the main problem hurting DVD sales is a general lack of quality movie releases. Simple as that. Sure, there's always been sequels, remakes, TV-series send-ups and other derivative content but never to the degree we're seeing from major studios today. The 1990s seems almost like a "golden age" of film-making by comparison.

So much media consolidation has happened that only around 5 companies control much of what gets delivered to movie theaters, home video, TV, music and radio. Big corporations despise change. They would prefer to sell the same old shit than do anything innovative (or risky). It's impossible to truly control the trends in any creative industry like movies and music. Deliberately stifling the natural cycle of change in those businesses makes about as much sense as irrigating crops with salt water.

Not nearly as many new movies are worth buying on DVD today as compared to just a few years ago. So many of these re-treads are simply met with the reaction, "maybe I'll rent it or wait for it on cable."

The fact the DVD market has matured to saturation just compounds the problem. Most people who have been collecting DVDs for more than a couple years or so likely have their entertainment racks filled with their favorite movies on DVD. That's how mine has been for about the last three years. My DVD buying habits really started trailing off about 3 years ago. I don't think I've bought more than 4 or 5 DVDs over the past year.

Studios have also been abusing the hell out of customers with numerous re-releases of DVDs. There's lots of catalog titles that have been released twice or more on DVD. The double-dipping ends up hurting the studios because the customers get wise to it and feel there is no urgency to buy a particular title now. Just wait until it gets double dipped again!

On the subject of people ripping DVDs to their hard drives and making illegal copies, I don't think Hollywood is losing very much to that. First, I think many of the people dubbing DVDs haven't been buying many of them in the first place. More important, the process of copying a copy-protected DVD is way too complicated and time consuming for the overwhelming majority of the general public. We're talking about the same general public where the majority couldn't figure out how to program a VCR. Downloading the movies is equally complicated and often a very treacherous practice. Many PCs are hosed with all sorts of computers viruses when exposed to many file sharing networks.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 04-24-2007 09:37 PM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Bobby Henderson
Most people who have been collecting DVDs for more than a couple years or so likely have their entertainment racks filled with their favorite movies on DVD.
That could be alot of it, all right. I now have about 90% of my favorites; most of the DVDs I've bought in the last year or two have been TV shows, and there aren't many of them left that I want.

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Joel N. Weber II
Expert Film Handler

Posts: 115
From: Somerville, MA, USA
Registered: Dec 2005


 - posted 04-24-2007 10:02 PM      Profile for Joel N. Weber II   Email Joel N. Weber II   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
In the last year or two, I've been intentionally avoiding buying DVDs of things that were shot in 35mm because I figure I want to buy them in Blu-Ray. Except I haven't figured out how to get a cost effective Blu-Ray player yet.

(I have been buying MacGyver DVDs, because I don't expect Blu-Ray to improve the quality there significantly, but maybe I am being naive.)

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Mike Heenan
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1896
From: Scottsdale, AZ, USA
Registered: Mar 2000


 - posted 04-24-2007 11:25 PM      Profile for Mike Heenan   Email Mike Heenan   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
You bought MacGyver dvd's? Ouch... as much as I loved the show, the transfers were pretty horrible. Since the show was finished on tape, I dont think they'll be releasing them to blu ray unless they go back to the original elements. I'm buying Magnum PI myself which was finished on film and the transfers seem to be from prints and in pretty good shape for the most part. I dont know if i'd buy it in HD if they would release it in that format though

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Tristan Lane
Master Film Handler

Posts: 444
From: Nampa, Idaho
Registered: Feb 2002


 - posted 04-25-2007 01:21 AM      Profile for Tristan Lane   Email Tristan Lane   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The reason I haven't bought any DVD's in the last year is due to Netflix. If I can pay the cost of 1 DVD a month to Netflix, and watch as many as I want, as long as I want, Why would I waste my money buying one DVD? Netflix has an extensive library, and a 2 day turnaround time.

In my opinion, Netflix, Hollywood Video's "MVP" program, and other monthly DVD rental services are a big reason DVD sales have declined.

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Mark Lensenmayer
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1605
From: Upper Arlington, OH
Registered: Sep 1999


 - posted 04-25-2007 06:58 AM      Profile for Mark Lensenmayer   Email Mark Lensenmayer   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Some big price drops are showing up locally (Central Ohio). A grocery chain (Giant Eagle) is offering NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM for $13.99, and QUEEN and DEJA VU for $15.99, but with a $6 coupon if you buy both, dropping the price to $12.99 each.

This is great for my mother-in-law who can't get out to movies...she loves to come over and watch films.

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Dennis Benjamin
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1445
From: Denton, MD
Registered: Feb 2002


 - posted 04-25-2007 07:16 AM      Profile for Dennis Benjamin   Author's Homepage   Email Dennis Benjamin   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
A lot of the films coming out in the last 5 years or so are what I call "One Timers".

Meaning there is no point in seeing them more than once. Whether you see the film at the Movie Theatre or rent them on DVD. They are very forgettable and seeing them once is usually plenty. Sometimes seeing them once is one time too many.

I continually build my DVD collection. However, my collection consists more of older films (from the 1950's through to the 1990's). Finding old movies on DVD has actually become a hobby of mine.

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Mike Williams
Master Film Handler

Posts: 255
From: Knoxville, TN
Registered: Feb 2002


 - posted 04-25-2007 07:48 AM      Profile for Mike Williams   Email Mike Williams   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I'm not sure how much of the 1% this accounts for or not - but on demand technology that is available from most cable providers has certainly slowed my purchases of DVD.

Sure, the selection is relatively limited now, but it is much better than it was a year ago and will most likely keep increasing.

If I am not leaving my house to rent most of my movies, I am less likely to buy a DVD.

For example, if I am at the store and there is a new movie on sale that I want to see, I have the option of Buying it, renting it at Blockbuster or watching it on demand. In most cases, I can even watch it in HD on Demand. If I really like the movie and still feel compelled to buy it, THEN I consider getting the DVD.

This may not be the same for everybody, but on demand has definitely changed my purchasing habits.

Unfortunately, it has also changed the way I go to the movies. Even when I worked for a theater chain and could go for free, in most cases I didn't since I could watch it at home 2-3 months later.

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Scott Norwood
Film God

Posts: 8146
From: Boston, MA. USA (1774.21 miles northeast of Dallas)
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 04-25-2007 08:02 AM      Profile for Scott Norwood   Author's Homepage   Email Scott Norwood   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Isn't this pretty much what happened to music CDs in the mid-1990s? The format had matured, players had become cheap, and users had already purchased pretty much all the catalog titles that they wanted (often as an upgrade from older LPs and cassettes). From that point forward, sales would be weighted toward newer releases.

Same for DVDs. Most of the big catalog titles have already been released and those who wanted them have purchased them. The last few years' worth of movies have mostly been dull and generally not worth buying (with a few exceptions), and I am sure that this hasn't helped sales of new releases. I suspect that the anticipation of new formats (Blu-Ray, HD-DVD, downloads) has probably caused people to delay additional purchases of catalog titles, now that it has become (reasonably) clear that the DVD format is probably midway through its lifespan before the Next Big Thing takes over.

Add to that the increase in options for both in-home and out-of-home entertainment and it's really not surprising at all (to me, at least) that sales would be down.

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Tim Reed
Better Projection Pays

Posts: 5246
From: Northampton, PA
Registered: Sep 1999


 - posted 04-25-2007 09:15 AM      Profile for Tim Reed   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote: Tristan Lane
monthly DVD rental services are a big reason DVD sales have declined.
Good. Now they're getting a taste of what it feels like to have the rug pulled out from under them.

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Mike Blakesley
Film God

Posts: 12767
From: Forsyth, Montana
Registered: Jun 99


 - posted 04-25-2007 10:22 AM      Profile for Mike Blakesley   Author's Homepage   Email Mike Blakesley   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I think long-term, the video software industry is going to mostly disappear. Eventually you will "subscribe" to an on-demand video service for everything. You'll be able to watch anything you want when you want. The concept of putting a device into a player will be quaint within the next 20 years or less. Of course, the downside is, you'll have to pay each time you watch something, but it'll probably still be cheaper than buying DVDs.

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