my profile | my password | search | faq & rules | forum home

» Film-Tech Forum ARCHIVE   » Community   » Film-Yak   » Have any guesses about 2008 Oscar Nominations? (Page 1)

This topic comprises 2 pages: 1  2

Author Topic: Have any guesses about 2008 Oscar Nominations? Joe Redifer You need a beating today Posts: 12859 From: Denver, Colorado Registered: May 99 posted 09-13-2008 10:47 AM                        I sometimes like to guess what will be nominated and see how accurate I am (or how predictable the Academy is). Here's what I have so far: BEST PICTURE: No clue yet. BEST ACTOR: -Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight (I'm guessing he won't win, though) -Sean Penn - Milk (The Academy eats this stuff up and it looks like he does a great job) BEST ACTRESS: -Keira Knightly - The Duchess (An actress from a period piece must ALWAYS be nominated, it is policy. Won't win) BEST MAKEUP: -The team responsible for Robert Downey Jr in Tropic Thunder. Win. BEST TRAGIC FOREIGN ANIMATED SHORT IN MONO: -New category. BEST SONG: -Ug. You just KNOW that Mama Mia will get something here. Dear god. Also, I am betting that either "W" and/or "Frost/Nixon" get some kind of courtesy nod, especially if the movies end up slanting left. What are your guesses?  |  IP: Logged Bobby Henderson "Ask me about Trajan." Posts: 10973 From: Lawton, OK, USA Registered: Apr 2001 posted 09-13-2008 02:24 PM                     I think it's still too early to say who will win. After reading a few "fall movie preview" articles, Heath Ledger is the only candidate I feel certain will win in a major category. I'm also pretty sure Ben Burtt will pick up Best Sound and Best Sound Editing Oscars for Wall•E. Pretty much everything else on my list merely predicts a nomination. Nothing more. Some this Summer's movies will probably win in a few technical categories. We still have the fall/holiday season movie slate to see how certain movies are received once they're released. Only then will the list of leading contenders seem more certain. There's already a lot of predictions being thrown about on movies that haven't been released yet. But some of those movies may end up being laughable crap that cancels out many predictions. By January, I'm sure some of the predictions on my list will seem pretty silly. Here's my list of "predictions" (gut-feeling guesses) -something of a work in progress. These predictions are absolutely subject to change: BEST PICTURE The Dark Knight (nomination, probably won't win) Che The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Changeling Milk BEST DIRECTOR Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight (nomination, probably won't win) Steven Soderbergh - Che Clint Eastwood - Changeling Gus Van Sant - Milk David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button BEST ACTOR Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Sean Penn - Milk Benicio del Toro - Che Viggo Mortensen - The Road Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon BEST ACTRESS Angelina Jolie - Changeling Kristin Scott Thomas - I Loved You So Long Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road Meryl Streep - Doubt BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight (Ledger will WIN) -----honorable mentions----- Josh Brolin - Milk James Franco - Milk or Pineapple Express Robert Downey Jr. - The Soloist BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS I don't know enough yet to be able to provide a full list of guesses: Debra Winger - Rachel Getting Married Penelope Cruz - Vicki Christina Barcelona BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY The Dark Knight - Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan, David S. Goyer (story) Milk - Dustin Lance Black Che - Peter Buchman, Benjamin A. van der Veen -----from Che Guevara's Bolivian Diary Changeling - J. Michael Straczynski Rachel Getting Married - Jenny Lumet BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Frost/Nixon - Peter Morgan, from his play The Road - Joe Penhall, from the novel by Cormac McCarthy Doubt - John Patrick Shanley, from his play The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Eric Roth, -----based on the F. Scott Fitzgerald short story Choke - Clark Gregg, from the novel by Chuck Palahniuk BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Wall•E Coraline Kung Fu Panda BEST VISUAL EFFECTS The Curious Case of Benjamin Button City of Ember The Dark Knight Hellboy 2: The Golden Army Iron Man BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Australia - Mandy Walker The Dark Knight - Wally Pfister (maybe a gimmie nomination for the IMAX work?) Honestly, I really don't know on this category. I have to actually see more of the field of potential nominated movies to get a better idea. BEST MUSIC SCORE The Dark Knight - James Newton Howard, Hans Zimmer Australia - David Hirschfelder Milk - Danny Elfman (he scored Wanted & Hellboy 2) BEST SONG I have no clue on this one. BEST EDITING The Dark Knight - Lee Smith Body of Lies - Pietro Scalia Wanted - David Brenner The Quantum of Solace - Matt Chesse, Richard Pearson BEST SOUND Wall•E - Ben Burtt, Sound Designer The Dark Knight - Richard King, Sound Designer The Quantum of Solace - Martin Cantwell, Sound Designer Hellboy 2: The Golden Army - Martin Hernandez, Sound Designer Body of Lies - Karen M. Baker, Supervising Sound Editor BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING Wall•E - Ben Burtt, Supervising Sound Editor The Dark Knight - Richard King, Supervising Sound Editor The Quantum of Solace - Eddy Joseph, Supervising Sound Editor Hellboy 2: The Golden Army - Martin Hernandez, Supervising Sound Editor Body of Lies - Per Hallberg, Supervising Sound Editor BEST MAKEUP EFFECTS The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Tropic Thunder Hellboy 2: The Golden Army BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Australia City of Ember Coraline Hellboy 2: The Golden Army BEST SET DECORATION Australia City of Ember Coraline BEST COSTUME DESIGN Duchess The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian Australia City of Ember Hellboy 2: The Golden Army BEST DOCUMENTARY Man on a Wire BEST FOREIGN FILM ???  |  IP: Logged Justin Hamaker Film God Posts: 2253 From: Lakeport, CA USA Registered: Jan 2004 posted 09-13-2008 05:20 PM                        I've only seen two movies so far this year that stand out as serious Oscar contenders: The Dark Knight and Wall•E. And Heath Ledger's Joker is the only stand out acting performance I've seen so far. Keep in mind that I haven't seen many of the smaller films this year.  |  IP: Logged Joe Redifer You need a beating today Posts: 12859 From: Denver, Colorado Registered: May 99 posted 09-13-2008 08:07 PM                        quote: Bobby Henderson BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN BEST SET DECORATION Isn't that kind of redundant? So is "Best Sound" and "Best Sound Effects Editing". Where the hell is "Best Foley"? Or how about "Best Use of Canned Sound Effects"? Or my personal favorite: "Best ADR".  |  IP: Logged John Wilson Film God Posts: 5438 From: Sydney, Australia. Registered: Dec 1999 posted 09-13-2008 08:17 PM                     quote: Joe Redifer was the last to post BEST SONG: -Ug. You just KNOW that Mama Mia will get something here. Dear god. No, they have to be original songs...so we're safe.  |  IP: Logged Bobby Henderson "Ask me about Trajan." Posts: 10973 From: Lawton, OK, USA Registered: Apr 2001 posted 09-14-2008 02:53 AM                     quote: Joe Redifer Isn't that kind of redundant? So is "Best Sound" and "Best Sound Effects Editing". I understand what you mean, which is why my predictions of nominations are identical in both categories. I merely listed both since technically there really is two different sound categories. But seriously, there probably should be a best Foley Effects Oscar award. After all, those Foley guys practically have to jump through hoops making all the sound effects things they make happen. Pretty amazing stuff when you really break down what those guys have to do.  |  IP: Logged Justin Hamaker Film God Posts: 2253 From: Lakeport, CA USA Registered: Jan 2004 posted 09-14-2008 06:25 AM                        I think the foley stuff falls under the Sound Editing category. Academy Rules for Sound Editing I don't really understand the Sound Mixing award. Academy Rules for Sound Mixing  |  IP: Logged Mike Spaeth Phenomenal Film Handler Posts: 1129 From: Marietta, GA Registered: Jul 2000 posted 09-21-2008 03:29 PM                        Here's what Wesley Lovell: The Oscar Guy has right now (first choice in each category = winner, the others are alphabetical) Best Picture Australia Changeling Defiance Milk The Reader Best Animated Film Wall-E 9 Kung Fu Panda Best Director Baz Luhrmann - Australia Clint Eastwood - Changeling Edward Zwick - Defiance Gus Van Sant - Milk Stephen Daldry - The Reader Best Actor Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon Hugh Jackman - Australia Sean Penn - Milk Viggo Mortensen - The Road Josh Brolin - W Best Actress Kate Winslet - The Reader Nicole Kidman - Australia Angelina Jolie - Changeling Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married Carice Van Houten - Valkyrie Best Supporting Actor John Malkovich - Changeling Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight Liev Schreiber - Defiance Toby Jones - Frost/Nixon Emile Hirsch - Milk Best Supporting Actress Amy Ryan - Changeling Amy Adams - Doubt Viola Davis - Doubt Kathy Bates - Revolutionary Road Ellen Burstyn - W Best Original Screenplay Wall-E Australia Changeling Gran Torino Milk Best Adapted Screenplay The Reader Defiance Frost/Nixon Revolutionary Road The Road Best Original Score Defiance Australia Changeling Frost/Nixon Revolutionary Road Best Original Song "Rock Me Sexy Jesus" - Hamlet 2 "Quantum Of Solace" - Quantum Of Solace Best Editing Australia Changeling Defiance The Reader The Road Best Cinematography Australia Appaloosa Defiance The Reader Revolutionary Road Best Art Direction Australia Che Defiance Miracle At St. Anna The Reader Best Costume Design Australia The Duchess The Fall The Other Boleyn Girl The Reader Best Makeup Hellboy II: The Golden Army The Chronicles Of Narnia: Prince Caspian Defiance Best Sound Mixing Defiance Australia Iron Man Mamma Mia! The Road Best Sound Editing Iron Man Australia The Dark Knight Quantum Of Solace Wall-E Best Visual Effects Speed Racer Iron Man Wanted Best Foreign Language Film The Flight Of The Red Balloon - France Crossing - South Korea Four Minutes - Germany My Brother Is An Only Child - Italy Summer Palace - China Best Documentary Feature Standard Operating Procedure Encounters At The End Of The World Shine A Light Trumbo Up The Yangtze  |  IP: Logged Tyler Potts Expert Film Handler Posts: 159 From: Anderson, SC, USA Registered: Sep 2008 posted 10-02-2008 10:17 AM                       Last year I really felt for the 1st time the popularity in wins over pure performance. The biggest one that floored me was that Casey Affleck didn't win supporting actor for The Assasination of Jesse James. BEST PICTURE (I would love to see this win) The Curious Case of Benjamin Button But I think because I think it just looks really cool. I've read the short story and don't know if it'll be the best picture. Bobby, you bring up Che constantly in your idea of nominations. Does it even have a distributor? Is there a release date yet for it? It's gotten buzz somewhere but I haven't heard anything really concrete about a release. And you'll probably see Guillermo del Toro's name on the list for the next few years for costumes or makeup, looks like he's got a busy schedule of releases in the next few years.  |  IP: Logged Bobby Henderson "Ask me about Trajan." Posts: 10973 From: Lawton, OK, USA Registered: Apr 2001 posted 10-02-2008 12:24 PM                     Che (or its other title: Guerrilla) stands a reasonably good chance of snaring lots of Oscar nominations if it is released to any theaters before December 31. That's a big "if." The movie is reportedly over 4 hours long. The final cut may not run that length. Some are concerned this movie could be some monumental dud. However, Steven Soderbergh has put a hell of a lot of work into the movie and has a history of gaining lots of Oscar nominations. One year he was nominated for Best Director twice (got one for Traffic and the other for Erin Brockovich). Anyway, if he has a project thrown in by year's end, it's bound to attract nominations -unless the movie is just truly awful.  |  IP: Logged Mike Schindler Phenomenal Film Handler Posts: 1039 From: Oak Park, IL, USA Registered: Jun 2002 posted 10-02-2008 01:54 PM                     I think IFC is distributing CHE. I heard that the plan is to release the whole thing in New York and L.A. in December in order to qualify for the Oscars. Then in January, Part 1 will be released simultaneously in the top 25-35 markets and on pay-per-view. Part 2 will be released the same way in February after the Oscar nominations are announced.  |  IP: Logged Mike Blakesley Film God Posts: 12767 From: Forsyth, Montana Registered: Jun 99 posted 10-03-2008 09:56 AM                        I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say Heath Ledger will get nominated, but will get beat by somebody. The fact that he's dead will get trumped by the fact that he was in a blockbuster. Just a guess.  |  IP: Logged Joe Redifer You need a beating today Posts: 12859 From: Denver, Colorado Registered: May 99 posted 10-03-2008 10:43 AM                        Yeah, the Academy likes "important" movies... like MILK. That's why I chose Sean Penn.  |  IP: Logged Bill Gabel Film God Posts: 3873 From: Technicolor / Postworks NY, USA Registered: Jan 2002 posted 10-03-2008 11:41 AM                     quote: Mike Schindler I heard that the plan is to release the whole thing in New York and L.A. in December Variety reports that "Che" will unspool as a two-parter with a 30-minute intermission when it gets released in December.  |  IP: Logged Chad Souder Jedi Master Film Handler Posts: 962 From: Waterloo, IA, USA Registered: Feb 2000 posted 10-03-2008 03:30 PM                     quote: Tyler Potts Last year I really felt for the 1st time the popularity in wins over pure performance. Just last year you felt this for the first time? I started to get annoyed after 1999 when Russel Crowe didn't win for Insider (can't argue with Spacey winning for American Beauty), but then, to make up for it, they gave Crowe the win for Gladiator the following year over, among others, Tom Hanks for Cast Away. The final straw for me was for 2001, when Denzel won for Training Day over Crowe again in Beautiful mind and Sean Penn in I Am Sam and Ewan McGregor wasn't even nominated for Moulin Rouge. I'm not saying they don't get any right, but it does seem to be quite political.  |  IP: Logged

All times are Central (GMT -6:00)

This topic comprises 2 pages: 1  2

Printer-friendly view of this topic

Hop To: Select a Forum: Category: Operations -------------------- Digital Cinema Forum Film Handlers' Forum Large Format Forum Ground Level Feature Info, Trailer Attachments & REAL Credit Offsets Category: Community -------------------- Film-Yak Film Handlers' Movie Reviews The Afterlife Bob Maar's Joke-A-Thon Category: Classified -------------------- Equipment and Supplies Wanted/For Sale Help Wanted/Seeking Employment Category: System -------------------- Software Beta Testing Forum

The Film-Tech Forums are designed for various members related to the cinema industry to express their opinions, viewpoints and testimonials on various products, services and events based upon speculation, personal knowledge and factual information through use, therefore all views represented here allow no liability upon the publishers of this web site and the owners of said views assume no liability for any ill will resulting from these postings. The posts made here are for educational as well as entertainment purposes and as such anyone viewing this portion of the website must accept these views as statements of the author of that opinion and agrees to release the authors from any and all liability.