Originally posted by Lyle Romer
View Post
The problem I have with the current approaches is that they are all way to weak for the problems at hand. It's obviously easy to shout from the sidelines, but it's just startling to see how we're essentially stuck with a bunch of dreadful amateurs leading the show. That's especially true in the U.S., where the people leading the show are almost criminally ignorant of the reality at hand on ALL levels, but it's also true to what's happening over in Europe, where a lack of unity and a web of self-interests blocks anything really constructive from happening.
In my opinion, if you, as a government, whether it is the central government, state or local government, shut down the entire economy, you're obliged to come up with a plan of how to make sure the people you just robbed of their rights of making a living will be able to survive this government mandated shutdown. The situation may be more dire in one country than the other, but I know not ONE country that put forward the means to ensure this. Now, there are many countries in the world that simply can't do that. But the U.S. and the E.U. as a whole, they COULD do it. They could put forward a GLOBAL "New Marshall Plan" and make sure China and India commit to it. Heck, they will probably gladly join, for all the shit China is getting (some of it deservedly so), their economy is hit equally hard.
On the other hand, after ignoring all the early warnings, the only way that was left to contain this virus was to pull the big red lever, as it was clear, it was getting out of hand. Now, restarting stuff is a bit like restarting a big power grid once it has failed. It's clear we can't just reverse the lever and go full-steam ahead. It's also clear we can't wait months to come up with a restart plan, by then, all the ice cream has melted and the milk in the fridge has gone sour, so to say... But what you see there is the same lack of leadership all around the globe. Without a few exceptions, there are no governments that REALLY have the means in place to restart the economy. It's all just a big experiment, as nobody really knows what's going to happen and that's all due to lack of testing. And that's where my primary concern is.
I agree with Steve that testing is essential to restart the whole thing. How can you isolate new pockets when you don't even know where they are? So, most of the restart plans I've seen are nothing but experiments. We're starting the engines of the big tanker, but we're sailing blind, only when the floor starts rumbling under our feet, we'll probably pull that big red lever again... The last few months could've been used to ramp-up testing. Why not force big-pharma to open up the tests they have? Why not use the emergency powers to force production of those tests and testing gear? I'm getting angry when I hear that one of the reasons for lack of testing in e.g. the Netherlands was, because someone decided that Roche should be the sole supplier of testing gear. Now, there are apparently more or less sufficient testing machines, but the test kits, which were essentially nothing more than plastic tubes with a piece of cotton in it, were on short supply. Roche couldn't handle the demand, so doctors had to come up with their own improvised test tubes, but it obviously wasn't enough, also, they had better things to do... Any competent leader would've put the middle finger towards Roche and would've tasked a bunch of local plastic manufacturers to produce those tubes en-masse, but apparently they were afraid of getting sued...
Comment